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The typical problem is reported at 23,000 miles.

Study · 2026-10-02

When owners first complain: the odometer, by nameplate

Photo: Wesley Tingey / Unsplash

NHTSA asks for the mileage on every owner complaint. Across 39,448 readings on 2018–2022 model years, the typical problem is reported at 23,000 miles — and the nameplate at the top of this table gets there at 0.08× the mileage of vehicles its own age, the one at the bottom at 3.71×.

Readingscomplaints with a mileage, 2018–2022 39,448
Typical odometermedian at complaint 23,000 mi
Reported earlyunder 12,000 miles 35.7%
Nameplates ranked100+ readings each 78

How this was measured, and why the ranking is by age

Source: NHTSA ODI complaints

Every complaint filed with NHTSA carries the odometer reading the owner gave. For each model year from 2018 to 2022 we took every reading on every nameplate we cover, dropped zeros and readings over 500,000, and kept a nameplate-year only when it had at least 30.

The comparison is made inside each model year. A 2018 has had years more to accumulate miles than a 2022, so pooling them would rank nameplates by their model-year mix. Instead a nameplate-year’s median is divided by the fleet median of that same model year, and the nameplate’s figure is the readings-weighted mean of those ratios. 0.50 means owners report problems at half the mileage of vehicles the same age; 1.50 means half again as far.

Complaint counts are never used. They scale with sales and with how loud an owner base is; the odometer on the complaints that were filed does not scale the same way. What this measures is when problems get reported, which is the closest the public record comes to when they happen.

Model yearReadingsMedian miMiddle half
201816,60327,8009,000 – 60,951
201912,08418,0005,000 – 52,000
20206,26614,0003,350 – 56,000
20212,87335,00010,000 – 65,000
20221,62228,99810,000 – 50,613

The fleet, by model year: the age curve every nameplate is measured against.

Reported earliest, against their own age

The twenty nameplates whose owners filed complaints at the lowest mileage relative to vehicles of the same model year.

Nameplatevs same ageMedian miMiddle halfUnder 12,000Readings
Volkswagen Golf / GTI 2018–20190.08×750300 – 3,30087.5%232
Tesla Model Y 2020–20220.28×7,0001,200 – 30,00060.1%218
Volkswagen Tiguan 2018–20190.29×7,2002,000 – 18,00065.1%195
Hyundai Palisade 2020–20210.3×5,0001,375 – 16,00069.2%208
Jeep Wrangler 2018–20220.31×7,9002,000 – 21,00059.4%1,770
Toyota RAV4 2018–20210.32×6,0001,000 – 25,00063.9%703
Jeep Gladiator Pickup 20200.35×4,900900 – 38,00062.5%184
Volkswagen Jetta 20190.36×6,500590 – 18,00066.5%251
Kia Telluride 2020–20210.42×6,3982,000 – 22,32563.3%221
Chevrolet Corvette 2018–20190.42×9,3004,900 – 15,68362.5%144
Toyota Tacoma 2018–20200.43×8,0002,975 – 19,50060.9%225
Subaru Forester 2018–20210.49×8,9003,350 – 19,50059.9%995
Tesla Model 3 2018–20220.5×12,9994,000 – 33,00048.1%514
Subaru Legacy 2018–20200.52×8,5003,500 – 24,95056.2%146
Subaru Outback 2018–20220.53×10,0004,300 – 23,00054.2%1,460
Tesla Model X 2018–20200.56×11,0004,000 – 26,00052.1%142
Chevrolet Colorado 2018–20190.56×14,0005,000 – 35,00046.5%127
Volkswagen Atlas 2018–20210.57×14,3654,500 – 31,00044.8%404
Acura RDX 2019–20200.57×9,2002,800 – 27,00055.8%208
Subaru Crosstrek 2018–20200.61×12,0004,500 – 24,00048.8%320
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Reported latest, against their own age

The twenty nameplates whose owners got furthest before filing, relative to vehicles of the same model year.

Nameplatevs same ageMedian miMiddle halfUnder 12,000Readings
Ford Fusion 2018–20203.71×79,22546,000 – 102,4957.2%445
Ford Expedition 2018–20213.34×67,00037,800 – 91,0009.7%453
Ford EcoSport 2018–20213.17×65,00047,444 – 80,0004.6%654
Ford Edge 2018–20223.06×66,00040,000 – 86,00012.4%685
Ford Escape 2018–20222.82×60,00029,859 – 89,00013.1%1,520
Ford Flex 2018–20192.62×53,00035,500 – 75,1867.2%138
Dodge Grand Caravan 2018–20192.27×52,00039,500 – 75,0007.5%161
GMC Yukon 2018–20222.15×60,00025,000 – 86,00015.2%244
Chevrolet Malibu 2018–20202.1×49,00024,000 – 70,00011.9%405
Ford Focus 20182.04×56,66437,000 – 80,0009.2%413
Ford F-150 2018–20221.95×42,70014,102 – 80,00022.5%2,077
Chevrolet Traverse 2018–20201.92×36,98614,700 – 65,00022.2%329
Acura MDX 2018–20201.89×35,00010,000 – 59,00027.1%129
Nissan Sentra 2018–20201.84×38,00011,000 – 58,97225.5%235
Ford Explorer 2018–20221.84×40,43810,500 – 74,00026.0%958
Ram 3500 2018–20201.72×40,00016,000 – 80,00019.0%279
Ford F-350 Super Duty 2018–20221.68×26,00013,000 – 55,00022.8%526
Ram 2500 2018–20221.63×45,00019,000 – 77,30018.9%667
Kia Soul 2018–20211.62×33,0008,960 – 80,00029.9%345
Kia Optima 2018–20191.58×36,82617,000 – 77,20016.2%130

The data behind this

Everything above, as files. No key, no form, no attribution beyond the line below — if it is useful, use it.

How to cite

WhichTrim, “The odometer at first complaint: 2018–2022 model years, ranked against their own age”, 2026-10-02. https://whichtrim.com/studies/failure-mileage/

The underlying records are U.S. federal public-domain data from NHTSA. The joins, the filtering and the arithmetic are ours, and we would rather be credited than not — but the figures are checkable from the source either way, which is the point.

Questions about this study

Source: NHTSA ODI complaints

Does a low number mean the car is unreliable?

It means owners of that nameplate reported problems to NHTSA earlier in the car's life than owners of other vehicles the same age. That is a signal about when trouble starts, not a failure rate: complaints are voluntary, unverified and filed by a minority. Read it beside the recall record and the complaint components on the nameplate's own page, which every row links to.

Why rank by a ratio instead of the miles?

Because a 2018 has had four more years on the road than a 2022. Ranking by raw median would just reward nameplates whose complaints happen to come from older model years. The ratio compares each nameplate-year with the fleet of the same model year, then averages across the years it appears in.

Why these model years?

2018–2022 are old enough that owners have had time to drive them and young enough to be the used cars people are shopping for now. Newer model years have too few miles to compare; older ones thin out as complaints taper off.

Where does the mileage come from?

The odometer field on NHTSA's complaint form, as the owner entered it. We drop zeros and anything over 500,000 miles and use the rest as filed. Nothing is estimated or modelled.

Can I use these numbers?

Yes. The full table is on this page as CSV and JSON, the source is public-domain federal data, and every nameplate links to the page that holds its complaints, so you can check us against NHTSA. Credit WhichTrim and link back.